Dates & Figs

Dates & Figs

Total Construction

Construction spending during May 2024 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,139.8 billion, 0.1 percent (±1.0 percent)* below the revised April estimate of $2,142.1 billion. The May figure is 6.4 percent (±1.6 percent) above the May 2023 estimate of $2,011.8 billion. During the first five months of this year, construction spending amounted to $836.3 billion, 8.8 percent (±1.2 percent) above the $768.6 billion for the same period in 2023.

Private Construction

Spending on private construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1,652.1 billion, 0.3 percent (±0.7 percent)* below the revised April estimate of $1,656.7 billion. Residential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $918.2 billion in May, 0.2 percent (±1.3 percent)* below the revised April estimate of $920.3 billion. Nonresidential construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $733.9 billion in May, 0.3 percent (±0.7 percent)* below the revised April estimate of $736.5 billion.

Public Construction

In May, the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate of public construction spending was $487.6 billion, 0.5 percent (±1.8 percent)* above the revised April estimate of $485.4 billion. Educational construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $102.1 billion, 0.6 percent (±2.5 percent)* above the revised April estimate of $101.5 billion. Highway construction was at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $147.6 billion, 0.5 percent (±5.3 percent)* below the revised April estimate of $148.3 billion.

Dodge Momentum Index

The Dodge Momentum Index (DMI), issued by Dodge Construction Network, increased by 10.4% in June to 198.6 (2000=100) from the revised May reading of 179.9. Over the month, commercial planning increased 14.5% and institutional planning ticked up 0.2%.

“Data centers continued to dominate planning projects in June – fueling another strong month for commercial planning,” stated Sarah Martin, associate director of forecasting at Dodge Construction Network. “More momentum in planning, while not as strong as data centers, was seen across most segments and indicates confidence in 2025 market conditions. The DMI is up 43% from June 2019 levels, signaling strong construction spending in 2025.”

Data center planning continued to be the primary driver of commercial growth in June, alongside moderate growth in retail, hotels, and warehouse projects. On the institutional side, weaker healthcare planning was offset by an improvement in education activity. Additionally, a large detention facility entered the queue last month and bolstered public planning as well.

In June, the DMI was 7% higher than in June of 2023. The commercial segment was up 25% from year-ago levels, while the institutional segment was down 25% over the same period. More details on June DMI

ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator Inched Higher in June, Contractors Remain Confident

Associated Builders and Contractors reported that its Construction Backlog Indicator increased to 8.4 months in June, according to an ABC member survey conducted June 20 to July 3. The reading is down 0.5 months from June 2023.

View ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index tables for June. View the full Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index data series.

The entire decline in backlog observed over the past calendar year is attributable to the Middle States and Northeast. Backlog in the South and West regions was unchanged between June 2023 and June 2024.

ABC’s Construction Confidence Index readings for sales and staffing levels fell slightly in June, while the reading for profit margins improved. All three readings remain above the threshold of 50, indicating expectations for growth over the next six months.

“Backlog continues to hold up remarkably well despite high interest rates, inflation and emerging weakness in the broader economy,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “While contractor confidence regarding the outlook for sales and staffing levels fell modestly in June, all three Construction Confidence Index components are higher than they were one year ago.

“The combination of slowing inflation and softening growth suggests that the Federal Reserve may begin to lower interest rates as soon as September,” said Basu. “That will buoy backlog as some of the softer construction segments, like office and commercial, benefit from lower borrowing costs and looser lending standards.”

ABC: Prices of Construction Materials Fall

Construction input prices fell 0.3% in June compared to the previous month, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Producer Price Index data released today. Nonresidential construction input prices declined 0.4% for the month.

Overall construction input prices are 1.1% higher than a year ago, while nonresidential construction input prices are 0.7% higher. Prices increased in 2 of 3 energy subcategories last month. Natural gas prices were up 36.3%. The aggregate price of unprocessed energy materials was up 4.7%. Crude petroleum prices were down 0.2% for the month.

“Construction materials prices dipped in June, perhaps a reflection of declining project starts in a number of construction segments and an associated dip in demand,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “For instance, input prices fell in the multifamily segment, where many contractors indicate substantial softening of demand for their services. The same was true of input prices in commercial construction segments.

 

Architecture business conditions decline in May, AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index Reports

The AIA/Deltek Architecture Billings Index (ABI) score declined to 42.4 in May, as more firms reported a decrease in billings than the month prior. The ABI score is a leading economic indicator of construction activity, providing an approximately nine-to-twelve-month glimpse into the future of nonresidential construction spending activity.

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